๐Ÿ“ˆ Rolling 20-trade hit rate over time
๐Ÿ“Š Trades per day (volume)
Time to next grade
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--
Learning slope
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% per 10 trades
Trades to 95% sig
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to prove edge isn't luck
๐ŸŽฏ Milestones
๐Ÿ’ก Interpretation
Slope > 0: The rolling hit rate is trending up. The brain is getting better as it sees more data. Good.
Slope โ‰ˆ 0: Plateaued. Either you hit your ceiling, or the model needs a refresh / new features.
Slope < 0: Degrading. Possible regime change. Investigate drift, consider retraining or pausing.

Most edge accumulates slowly. A 1%/month improvement in hit rate compounds enormously over a year. Don't expect step changes.