Trust score starts at 100 and subtracts penalties for each warning signal:
- BSS < 0: -25 (brain is worse than baseline)
- BSS < 0.10: -15 (brain not clearly learning)
- Annualized Sharpe < 0: -25
- Annualized Sharpe < 1.0: -10
- Drift PSI > 0.25: -20 (concept drift detected)
- Covariate shift fired: -25 (input distribution shifted)
- Losing streak โฅ 5: -25 (deep tilt)
- Losing streak โฅ 3: -15
- Cross-method agreement = FRAGMENTED: -10
- Conformal halfwidth > 0.20: -15 (wide uncertainty)
- Hourly bucket < 20 samples: -5
- DoW bucket < 20 samples: -5
The remaining number tells Brandon how much to trust the brain's current setup. A clean state with adequate sample sizes lands at 95+. A brain hit by drift + losing streak + shift drops to 0 โ that's the system telling you to step away.