๐Ÿ“‰ Active penalties
๐Ÿ“Š Trust tiers
ScoreTierRecommendation
90-100GREEN LIGHTFull conviction sizing.
75-89TRUST BUT VERIFYStandard sizing; double-check setup.
60-74REDUCED SIZEHalve normal size or skip if multiple penalties.
40-59PAPER ONLYTrack on paper, don't risk capital.
<40DO NOT TRADEBrain is degraded. Wait for conditions to improve.
๐Ÿ“š What this aggregates
Trust score starts at 100 and subtracts penalties for each warning signal:
  • BSS < 0: -25 (brain is worse than baseline)
  • BSS < 0.10: -15 (brain not clearly learning)
  • Annualized Sharpe < 0: -25
  • Annualized Sharpe < 1.0: -10
  • Drift PSI > 0.25: -20 (concept drift detected)
  • Covariate shift fired: -25 (input distribution shifted)
  • Losing streak โ‰ฅ 5: -25 (deep tilt)
  • Losing streak โ‰ฅ 3: -15
  • Cross-method agreement = FRAGMENTED: -10
  • Conformal halfwidth > 0.20: -15 (wide uncertainty)
  • Hourly bucket < 20 samples: -5
  • DoW bucket < 20 samples: -5
The remaining number tells Brandon how much to trust the brain's current setup. A clean state with adequate sample sizes lands at 95+. A brain hit by drift + losing streak + shift drops to 0 โ€” that's the system telling you to step away.