🎓 What is Kelly?
The Kelly criterion is the math-optimal bet size given your edge: f* = W − (1−W) / R where W = win-rate and R = avg-win / avg-loss ratio. It's the size that maximizes long-term wealth growth. In practice, full Kelly is too aggressive — one bad streak ruins you. Most pros bet ¼-Kelly to ½-Kelly. The brain uses your learned data per setup — so the answer changes as you trade more.
📝 Trade inputs
💰 Brain says…
$0
0 shares
Kelly %
Risk $
Expected R/trade
Position relative to risk caps
0%¼K½KFull K
📊 Your learned edge by setup
Every setup the brain has seen at least 3 closed trades for. Sorted by Kelly fraction (math-optimal long-term bet size).
Setup
N
Win %
Avg R
Payoff
Kelly %