๐ What the curve tells you.
2s10s inverted (10y < 2y) has preceded every US recession since 1970 (avg 12 months ahead).
3m10y (Powell's preferred curve) is the more reliable signal โ Fed cuts when it inverts.
Steepening after inversion = recession is here, growth stocks bottom 6 months later.
Curve sourced from Treasury ETFs (SHY 2y, IEF 7y, TLT 20y) and inferred yields.
๐ Current yield curve (snapshot)
Yields inferred from Treasury ETF prices. Real-time prices from your data feed. For precise yields, configure FRED API in Settings.
๐ Treasury ETF day moves (inverse: rising ETF = falling yield = bond rally)