How the brain uses these setups: The autonomous loop scans the universe every 60 seconds. When a symbol meets the trigger conditions for any setup, the brain emits a finding to bpleone_brain_findings_v1, scored 1โ€“3 stars by severity. After 30 minutes the brain rates the realized outcome (hit/miss/flat) and adjusts the per-symbol weight ยฑ0.005 โ€” so the system gets sharper over time. View the live conviction ladder on Conviction Stack and historical hit rates on ML Feedback.
๐Ÿš€ Momentum & Continuation
52-Week Breakout
BULL
Symbol breaks above its 52-week high on at least 1.5ร— average volume. Classic Minervini/IBD entry โ€” institutional buying enters on prior resistance becoming support.
62%
Hit rate (1w)
+3.4%
Avg move
3.2:1
R/R
Bull Flag Continuation
BULL
Sharp impulse leg (5%+ in <3 days) followed by 2โ€“5 day tight consolidation on declining volume, then breakout. Best in trending markets.
58%
Hit rate
+4.1%
Avg move
2.8:1
R/R
Cup & Handle
BULL
U-shaped base (6+ weeks) with small descending pullback near highs. Breakout above handle high triggers entry. O'Neil/IBD's signature pattern.
55%
Hit rate
+5.6%
Avg move
3.5:1
R/R
VWAP Reclaim
BULL
Stock pulls back below VWAP intraday on light volume, then reclaims with heavy buy-prints. Day-trader's bread-and-butter. Best on RTH open hour.
54%
Hit rate
+1.8%
Avg same-day
2.4:1
R/R
VWAP Rejection
BEAR
Tag of VWAP from below + immediate rejection with offer-down prints. Bear flag setup. Short entry as supply re-asserts.
51%
Hit rate
โˆ’2.1%
Avg move
2.6:1
R/R
50-MA Breakdown
BEAR
Close below 50-day MA on 1.5ร—+ volume after extended uptrend. Trend-change signal. Often precedes 5โ€“10% retrace.
53%
Hit rate
โˆ’4.8%
Avg move
3.1:1
R/R
๐Ÿ”„ Mean Reversion
Oversold Mean Revert
BULL
RSI <30 + price >2 ATR below 20-MA + reversal candle. Best on uptrending stocks pulling back to support. Rough on downtrends.
58%
Hit rate
+2.3%
Avg 3-day
2.1:1
R/R
Overbought Fade
BEAR
RSI >75 + price extended above 20-MA (>2 ATR) + bearish reversal candle near resistance. Fade the move for mean revert.
52%
Hit rate
โˆ’1.9%
Avg 3-day
2.0:1
R/R
Bollinger Squeeze
NEUT
BB width compresses to lowest 20-period reading + ATR contraction. Direction unknown until break โ€” but the move when it comes is sharp.
63%
Hit rate
ยฑ5.2%
Avg break
3.0:1
R/R
๐Ÿ“ก Options Flow & Vol
Sweep at Ask (Call)
BULL
Cross-exchange call buying at the ask, premium โ‰ฅ$250k. Informed buyer needs in NOW. Has ~45% follow-through to upside within 5 days historically.
45%
Hit rate
+6.8%
Winners
2.7:1
R/R
Sweep at Ask (Put)
BEAR
Cross-exchange put buying at the ask, premium โ‰ฅ$250k. Can be hedging OR directional โ€” context matters. Watch for confluence with other bear signals.
39%
Hit rate
โˆ’5.2%
Winners
2.4:1
R/R
IV Skew Extreme
NEUT
Put skew (25-delta) >1.5ฯƒ from 30-day avg. Either fear-priced (puts expensive โ€” fade) or melt-up-priced (calls bid โ€” chase). Read direction by sign.
57%
Hit rate
ยฑ3.7%
Avg
2.5:1
R/R
๐ŸŒ‘ Dark Pool & Institutional
DP Block Cluster (Bid-Lift)
BULL
3+ blocks โ‰ฅ$5M each, all bid-lifted, within 60 min. An algo working a parent buy order. Trade with direction, not against.
61%
Hit rate
+2.9%
Next 1d
2.8:1
R/R
DPI Spike (โ‰ฅ58%)
NEUT
Dark Pool Index for a symbol jumps above 58% (avg ~38%). Institutions hiding flow โ€” direction unclear without bid-lift signal. Watch for next-day gap.
54%
Hit rate
ยฑ4.1%
Next 1d
2.5:1
R/R
Insider Cluster Buy
BULL
3+ Form 4 buy filings from different insiders within 14 days. Strong conviction signal โ€” insiders rarely cluster-buy lightly.
64%
Hit rate (3m)
+8.4%
Avg
3.6:1
R/R
โ›“ Squeeze & Short Pressure
Squeeze Composite โ‰ฅ80
BULL
Composite of SI%, DTC, utilization, BB squeeze, IV percentile, float compression. Score โ‰ฅ80 = explosive potential โ€” historically preceded major squeeze runs.
42%
Hit rate
+14.2%
Winners
4.2:1
R/R
High Utilization + FTDs
BULL
Borrow utilization >95% + failures-to-deliver rising or Reg SHO threshold list entry. Forced-cover risk for shorts elevated.
48%
Hit rate
+11.6%
Winners
3.8:1
R/R
โญ 6-Star Confluence
NEUT
Six independent setups firing on the same symbol within 4 hours. The brain's highest-conviction signal class. Rare (~2โ€“4/week) but historically high edge.
68%
Hit rate
+6.1%
Avg
3.4:1
R/R
๐ŸŒ Macro & Regime
Yield Curve Inversion
BEAR
2s10s spread inverts (10Y < 2Y). Historically precedes recessions by 6โ€“18 months. Risk-off bias, defensives outperform, vol rises.
โ€”
Macro signal
6โ€“18m
Lead time
โ€”
Trend bias
VIX Backwardation
BEAR
VIX front-month > VIX3M. Stress regime โ€” buy-the-dip in equities historically works, but only after a vol-spike confirms a bottoming process.
59%
Hit rate
+3.2%
SPY 5d
2.4:1
R/R
Sector Rotation Pivot
NEUT
Leadership change on the 1-month RS quadrant โ€” a sector moves from leading to weakening, or improving to leading. Trade the new leader for 2โ€“6 weeks.
56%
Hit rate
+4.6%
Avg leader
3.1:1
R/R